OK, here’s my final projection: Donald Trump will be re-elected in an electoral landslide that will easily eclipse his 2016 victory. Trump will win every state he won in 2016 – yes, including MI and WI and PA – and will add several other states to his column. Think Nevada and Virginia and New Hampshire and New Mexico.
Final tally: Trump 344, Biden 194. A clear and convincing landslide in America’s first Outrage Election.
The popular vote will be closer – much closer, thanks to the brainwashed masses in California and New York and Illinois and New Jersey, although Jersey will be closer than most people are thinking right now. Illinois will be closer, too. I still think Trump wins the popular vote, but barely, by a million votes or so.
Here’s the beauty part: Trump will have coattails, and those coattails will bring endangered GOP senators like Sonny Perdue in Georgia and Joni Ernst in Iowa and Martha McSally in Arizona and Little Lindsey Graham in South Carolina over the finish line despite the hundreds of millions in Hollywood/New York money that poured into the campaigns of their Democrat challengers. Couple those holds with pickups by John James in Michigan and Tommy Tubberville in Alabama, and what will be a very narrow loss by Cory Gardner in Colorado, and you have the GOP holding a 54 seat majority in the Senate for the next two years, an incredible upset considering they had 14 more seats up for re-election than the Democrats did in this cycle.
Now, here’s the bad news: The Red Wave likely will not translate to the GOP picking up a majority in the House, due mainly to incredibly inept campaigns run by R congressional candidates in Texas, Georgia and several other states. Unfortunately, the Republicans in those states chose to take the advice of the same pollsters that advise Democrats and have run campaigns in which you would never even know they are Republicans, always a losing strategy for the Rs.
The prime example of this is Genevieve Collins in Texas’s 32nd district, who is challenging Collin Allred in a very even district. Collins ran one of the most effective primary campaigns I have ever seen, prevailing over a strong field with ads that clearly identified her as the all-American anti-socialist Republican in the race who would go to Washington to get stuff done. Some of you may remember I predicted that, if she ran the same campaign this fall, she would take this seat back from Allred, who unseated longtime incumbent R Pete Sessions in 2018.
Sadly, Collins has listened to advisors who told her to completely shift in the general election, running as Collin Allred light, a non-partisan candidate with touch-feely messaging who you would never know was a Republican or conservative. Many other GOP candidates are obviously using the same polling and communications firms to advise them, and they will pretty much all lose in the even districts as a result.
So, keep an eye on Texas 32: If you see Collins winning tonight, then you are probably going to see a Republican majority ushered in in January. My bet is she will lose because she failed to distinguish herself from her very leftwing opponent with a 100% record of fealty to Nancy Pelosi. An incredible lost opportunity that need not have happened.
Whether the presidential election gets called tonight depends on the President being able to run up enough electoral votes in other states to make Pennsylvania irrelevant, given that the corrupt Democrat governor and Lt. Governor have already made it clear they will not even start releasing vote counts until Wednesday. That’s why the states to watch early will be Florida, Virginia and New Hampshire. If we see Florida and either of those other two states called for Trump tonight, then you can feel safe that it’s all over but the crying.
Early voting trends indicate that President Trump will win Florida by a significantly larger margin than he did in 2016, so it could end up being called much earlier than the wee hours of the morning that we saw four years ago. A Trump win in Virginia would signal a Red Wave of epic proportions, and such electoral waves do not stop at state borders – they roll nationally. My bet is that the much higher turnout by non-college educated white voters and higher percentage of black and Hispanic voters going to Trump (his Black vote percentage could be as high as 18%, double what he got in 2016) will make the difference, and the media that is hoping for a hung verdict to facilitate the Democrats’ post-election voter fraud plans will end up having little choice but to call the election before sunrise on Wednesday.
Disclaimer: I called every aspect of the 2016 election right, including the GOP waves in congress and the state houses. But I did miss on my prediction that the GOP would hold the house majority in 2018, so I have been wrong before.
Those of you who have read me for the past several years know that my theory on presidential elections is that they all come down to being decided based on national voter inertia, not on local issues as many pundits like to pretend. That inertia in the past has always either been in favor of retaining the status quo, or wanting change. 2016 was a change election, and Trump won because he was the only true change agent in the race.
This year is the first time in my lifetime that is different. This election is neither a status quo or change election: This is our first outrage election.
This year has been more difficult, complicated as it has been by the China Virus pandemic and the entire national news media/social media apparatus turning itself into a very real Nazi-style propaganda tool for the Democrats. The media’s wall of disinformation about the virus and the summer of Democrat-sponsored rioting that destroyed vast swaths of a dozen Democrat-run cities resulted in it taking a long time for the public to figure out which side to direct its focused outrage towards.
Over the past month, the public has figured it out, and millions of Americans are outraged by all the deception. The big turnout by non-college educated white voters who are sick of being portrayed in the media as privileged racists is one big indicator of this outrage, but it is not the only one. Also outraged by all the deception are the Black voters who are turning to Trump due to their outrage about having been pandered and lied to by race-baiting hucksters for half a century and more, and millions of Hispanic voters who are outraged by the media’s portraying them as a monolithic block with no diversity of thought.
That outrage, that focused anger towards the media and political establishment in Washington, DC, is what is producing America’s first Outrage Election, and it is why Donald J. Trump will serve a second term in office thanks to a resounding victory today.
I’ve been wrong before, but I don’t think this is one of those days.
God Bless all of you, and God Bless America.
That is all.