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About theartfuldilettante

The Artful Dilettante is a native of Pittsburgh, PA, and a graduate of Penn State University. He is a lover of liberty and a lifelong and passionate student of the same. He is voracious reader of books on the Enlightenment and the American colonial and revolutionary periods. He is a student of libertarian and Objectivist philosophies. He collects revolutionary war and period currency, books, and newspapers. He is married and the father of one teenage son. He is kind, witty, generous to a fault, and unjustifiably proud of himself. He is the life of the party and an unparalleled raconteur.

Trump Headed for Decisive Victory

Despite so many factors going against Republicans, all the indicators are pointing to a mammoth win for Donald Trump on Tuesday. Democrats control the media, big tech, the legal system, education/academia, government, and corporations. Republicans have churches — but 32 million evangelicals are unlikely to vote in this election, meaning that influence is negligible. This leaves Republicans without much to counterbalance the massive Democratic advantages except enhanced GOTV efforts by the party, Turning Point USA, one-man machine Scott Pressler and Elon Musk’s efforts, which include converting Twitter into the only mainstream social media platform that doesn’t censor the right.

Due to the GOTV efforts, far more Republicans than Democrats have already voted in several battleground states, which was unheard of in recent years due to GOP fears of election fraud with early ballots. At the same time, Democrats aren’t voting early in as large a number as they did in 2020. In Arizona, by the 15th day of early ballots, Democrats had only voted 363,643 early ballots, which is 35.4% of their numbers. In contrast, in 2020, Democrats returned 535,229, or 43.5%.

As of Sunday, 9% more Republicans than Democrats had voted in Arizona, 5% more in Nevada, 3% more in Georgia and 2% more in North Carolina. While the Democrats were ahead in the other battleground states, many Republicans are still expected to wait and vote on Election Day. Since the extra voters consist of mostly low-propensity voters who wouldn’t normally vote, there will still be all the high-propensity Republican voters casting ballots.

Independents are significantly behind Republicans and Democrats in voting early, and their numbers, which usually split pretty evenly between Republicans and Democrats — the reason why they rarely impact races — are trending towards Republicans this year, polls show.

Despite the MSM highlighting a few aberrational polls that deliberately oversampled Democrats, college-educated voters and/or registered voters who weren’t “likely voters,” reputable polls show Trump winning in all the battleground states. AtlasIntel, which is ranked 22nd for accuracy out of hundreds of pollsters by the left-leaning FiveThirtyEight and considered very reputable by the left-leaning site MediaBias/FactCheck, shows Trump winning by 6 points in Arizona, 2 points in Pennsylvania, 2 points in Georgia, 6 points in Nevada, 4 points in North Carolina, 2 points in Michigan and 1 point in Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports’ head pollster, Mark Mitchell, just predicted a landslide for Trump, reminiscent of Ronald Reagan’s historic huge win over Jimmy Carter in 1980. He said there is a good chance Virginia and New Hampshire could flip, too, and possibly even Minnesota or New Mexico. Mitchell said the polls showing a close race are wrong; Trump is actually strongly winning, and his advantage is increasing in battleground states. Rasmussen was considered one of FiveThirtyEight’s top handful of most accurate pollsters until the cheating started in 2020.

Former Bill Clinton advisor Dick Morris predicted Trump would pick up all the battleground states with the possible exception of Wisconsin. He said Trump might also pick up Minnesota or Virginia.

Betting markets on Sunday had Trump ahead. Kalshi showed Trump far ahead in every battleground state except Michigan and Wisconsin. The betting site Polymarket also has Trump ahead, but some have discounted this because a wealthy Frenchman bet $38 million on Trump.

The election forecasting site Quantus Insights has steadily shown Trump winning the electoral college by a large margin. It provided a significant analysis of why the battleground states will likely go to Trump.

A USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll released less than two weeks ago showed that Trump was 11 points ahead of Harris with Latino voters. Even though Harris is reportedly a tiny part black, she has less black support than Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden. Trump is on track to receive three times the amount of black support he had in 2016 and is currently at 16%, with almost 30% of black men. This could also be because Harris’ ancestors owned and traded slaves — a fact even the left-leaning Wikipedia admits, and something Harris has never denied.

The number of newspapers refusing to issue an endorsement in the presidential race is another foreboding sign for Harris. In 2016, only 26 of the country’s largest newspapers didn’t make an endorsement. This year, that number almost doubled, with 46 declining to issue one.

Douglas MacKinnon, a former White House and Pentagon official, predicted in September that non-elites, afraid of what the “condescending” left is doing to the country, will turn out a landslide for Trump.

The elites all predicted Carter would survive a challenge from Reagan in 1980, but instead Reagan trounced him. Reagan is the only president in history to be so popular that he obtained over 1,000 electoral votes. In 1984, his 525 electoral votes (out of 538) is the highest total ever received by a presidential candidate. Many believe Reagan won due to asking Carter during their single debate, “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”

Since Democrats failed to rally significant numbers in their party to vote early, Republicans are afraid they plan to bombard the election with a barrage of questionably obtained last minute mail-in ballots. In 2020 and 2022, the courts either sat on litigation challenging these shenanigans, creating fatigue so people forgot about it, or sidestepped adjudicating the controversy by claiming some bogus technical reason barred the lawsuits from being decided.

While Democrats are expected to pull their usual shenanigans, abusing the courts at the last minute, there have been several key rulings in the last couple of weeks revealing that judges aren’t going to rubber stamp all of their sleazy maneuvers this time around. The most striking decision is the Supreme Court deciding to take up a case just a few days before the election — almost unprecedented — and ruling that Virginia could remove noncitizens from its rolls. Due to the longstanding Purcell Principle, courts have refrained from intervening this close to an election. As long as no cheating is allowed, Trump appears headed for a decisive victory.

Rachel Alexander, townhall.com

If Trump Wins….

If Trump wins, we will all be at war with the snowflakes, gender-confused, and emotionally fragile. Should be interesting.

If Trump wins and saves America, I will applaud louder than anyone. But we must remember that half or so of America hates America. Leftists don’t want the Bill of Rights or economic freedom. They claim they don’t hate America, but they do, because socialism and woke lunacy are NOT America, but the polar opposite of America. How else could they support the horrific things the Biden and Harris puppets have been doing, if they don’t seek its destruction?

So it may, in all frankness, be more realistic to look at a divorce. That means no more America as we have known it — but, get real, if Harris wins (for real or by fraud), either way, America is over. The republic hangs by a thread as it is, and cannot take one more blow. Not one. Secession — or liberation, a better word — in that context, offers hope for the states and localities that break away from the rotten-to-the-core regime that the Imperial City of D.C. has become.

So yes, I hope Trump wins and can slay the dragon. But please remember Plan B.

Follow Dr. Hurd on Facebook. Search under “Michael Hurd” (Charleston SC). Get up-to-the-minute postings, recommended articles and links, and engage in back-and-forth discussion with Dr. Hurd on topics of interest. Also follow Dr. Hurd on X at @MichaelJHurd1, drmichaelhurd on Instagram, @DrHurd on TruthSocial. Dr. Hurd is also now a Newsmax Insider!

Leonard Peikoff on Donald Trump

Ayn Rand’s longest and closest intellectual associate, Leonard Peikoff, weighs in on Trump: Supporting Trump over Harris is a slam dunk. Harris is the worst conceivable candidate and will wipe out America. Riveting interview.

A Conversation with Leonard Peikoff About the US Presidential Election CLICK HERE!

Note: Dr. Leonard Peikoff wrote one of my favorite books on the philsophical parallels between America and Nazi Germany, called The Ominous Parallels. He wrote it in the 1970s with Ayn Rand’s agreement. Sadly, it has all come to pass.

Follow Dr. Hurd on Facebook. Search under “Michael Hurd” (Charleston SC). Get up-to-the-minute postings, recommended articles and links, and engage in back-and-forth discussion with Dr. Hurd on topics of interest. Also follow Dr. Hurd on X at @MichaelJHurd1, drmichaelhurd on Instagram, @DrHurd on TruthSocial. Dr. Hurd is also now a Newsmax Insider!

Trash

Kamala’s distancing herself from Joe’s “Trump supporters are trash” remark. It’s all staged. It’s a way to give her high ground. With Kamala, there’s no evidence of intelligence, standards, virtue or character. None whatsoever. So it has to be manufactured. It will make her a more effective puppet, they think, for the ignorant, gullible masses. Democratic donors — the ones who seek to control and destroy the world — sociopaths like Bill Gates and George Soros — want an effective puppet. That’s all there is to it.

Biden thinks we’re garbage. DeNiro says we’re pieces of fecal matter. I think they’re all human debris and sociopathic, totalitarian scum.

I believe it’s time for a divorce. If Kamala wins, the U.S. is officially finished and good people will want no part of it. If Trump wins, they will want no part of it.

I don’t buy that the Kamala Harris campaign has surrendered North Carolina by pulling advertising. The Democrat Party has more money than God. Millions are pennies to them. I believe that they believe they have won North Carolina. Do you talk to Democrats? They seem confident of winning. Their media (the media you and I tune out) has reassured them. The Kamala people already know their plan for the fix. The rest of us will know it soon enough.

Follow Dr. Hurd on Facebook. Search under “Michael Hurd” (Charleston SC). Get up-to-the-minute postings, recommended articles and links, and engage in back-and-forth discussion with Dr. Hurd on topics of interest. Also follow Dr. Hurd on X at @MichaelJHurd1, drmichaelhurd on Instagram, @DrHurd on TruthSocial. Dr. Hurd is also now a Newsmax Insider!

Can Trump Win….and if so, what Happens Next ?

The election, we’re told, will be determined by a few swing states. Each swing state has a Democrat governor. In each of these swing states, the election will be determined by a major city (Atlanta, Philadelphia, Phoenix) run primarily (if not exclusively) by Democrats. The corrupt, ruthlessly partisan election officials in these swing state cities feel no moral or legal pressure from their governors, state supreme courts or the U.S. Supreme Court to avoid fraud. Essentially, they can manufacture enough votes to ensure their swing states go to Kamala — just as they did for Joe in 2020.

How can Trump win in such a scenario?

If Kamala is declared the winner a week or two after Election Day, what will opponents of totalitarian, one-party socialist-fascist rule in the United States do next? Trump will not be running again in 2028, and what would be the point? They wilXWE1 ll do it again. Or will we just roll over and keep taking it? Forever?

If Trump does win, will the regime still in power willingly and peacefully step aside? After years of deception, ballot fraud, unlawful FBI raids, censorship of social media, vaccine mandates, lockdowns, denial of due process rights and arbitrary, unlawful imprisonment of “January 6” protesters, and all the rest?

Even if Trump wins, will the media that most Americans follow even acknowledge that he won? Or suggest that it’s just a Russian or “white supremacist” maneuver?

How much are each of you, personally, willing to tolerate before you say no more? Or is there no breaking point?

Follow Dr. Hurd on Facebook. Search under “Michael Hurd” (Charleston SC). Get up-to-the-minute postings, recommended articles and links, and engage in back-and-forth discussion with Dr. Hurd on topics of interest. Also follow Dr. Hurd on X at @MichaelJHurd1, drmichaelhurd on Instagram, @DrHurd on TruthSocial. Dr. Hurd is also now a Newsmax Insider!

If Trump Wins….

If Trump wins, leftists will storm the streets and social media with cries of rebellion, and resistance.

If Kamala wins, all who question her will be silenced, arrested or even worse for criticizing her.

Leftists can be rebels OR totalitarians — whichever works, so long as they’re in control.

Communists and fascists are big, bad and scary when they get the guns. But with or without the guns, they’re emotionally no more than children.

Put the raging toddler, stamping his feet and demanding his way, in charge of the household. That’s a totalitarian. Today’s totalitarians are leftists; we call them Democrats.

Whatever you call them, they will always be the same.

If you’re afraid of them, they grow stronger. Once you realize how weak, fragile and pathetic they are, your fear will dissipate and you’ll witness the beginning of the end of their dominance.

Follow Dr. Hurd on Facebook. Search under “Michael Hurd” (Charleston SC). Get up-to-the-minute postings, recommended articles and links, and engage in back-and-forth discussion with Dr. Hurd on topics of interest. Also follow Dr. Hurd on X at @MichaelJHurd1, drmichaelhurd on Instagram, @DrHurd on TruthSocial. Dr. Hurd is also now a Newsmax Insider!

Trump Returns to New York

I love that Trump went back to NYC. The place is a crime-ridden swamp. Culturally and physically, it’s a pit. I say this as someone who adored the city as recently as 8 or 10 years ago. At one point, I visited New York monthly. COVID ruined it, not just because of the lockdowns and martial law that afflicted nearly all of America of that time, in a politicized “scamdemic” orchestrated to throw Trump out of office. The leftist Communist mayor of NYC exploited COVID as a means of letting criminals run loose, imposing vax mandates on the best police force in human history, and transforming the Big Apple into a vapid, woke, pile of sanctuary city Commiefascist crap.

Trump’s storming of the city yesterday evening, with a rally at Madison Square Garden, offers a reminder that none of it ever had to be so, as he himself built a fabulously impressive, uniquely American career in the commercial and residential real estate industry of Manhattan. Trump’s inspiring, high energy 2024 campaign is a last gasp effort to keep the Evil Empire from doing to the rest of America what it did to New York.

Follow Dr. Hurd on Facebook. Search under “Michael Hurd” (Charleston SC). Get up-to-the-minute postings, recommended articles and links, and engage in back-and-forth discussion with Dr. Hurd on topics of interest. Also follow Dr. Hurd on X at @MichaelJHurd1, drmichaelhurd on Instagram, @DrHurd on TruthSocial. Dr. Hurd is also now a Newsmax Insider!