Welfare State

Over the past decade, California has made a number of significant reforms to its criminal justice system that not only made important steps toward turning around a deeply troubled prison system but retained voters’ support on the 2020 ballot. Now the state is implementing a set of reforms to its juvenile justice system that, while low‐​profile, are set to replace California’s historically flawed state Division of Juvenile Justice (DJJ).

The plan to close DJJ reflects two important realities: California imprisons fewer juveniles than before, and the cost of incarcerating those who remain is unsustainable (almost $300,000 per person). There are causes for not only optimism about the reforms, but to think that they could be a model for other states.

As Governor Newsom’s original proposal noted, juvenile detention facilities at the county level have more than enough space to accommodate offenders currently held in state facilities, and housing offenders in county facilities allows them more access to their families and home communities, who can be important resources in the rehabilitation process. DJJ, on the other hand, has a higher recidivism rate than California’s adult prison system does, and has failed to eliminate perennial reports of abuses.

Governor Newsom and the legislature took the first steps toward closing DJJ in last year’s legislative session, passing SB 823, and added further details this year with SB 92. These bills started the process of zeroing out DJJ’s population by barring it from accepting most new inmates after July 1, 2021, and transferring any remaining inmates to their home counties by July 1, 2023. SB 823 would also create a Juvenile Justice Realignment Block Grant program to fund county‐​level services for the children who would have otherwise been wards of DJJ. Alongside the Juvenile Justice Block Grant, SB 823 created the Office of Youth and Community Restoration (OYCR) to collect data from counties and use this data to identify best practices and policy recommendations.

California’s plan to close DJJ includes several provisions that will help ensure that the reforms amount to an improvement rather than an exercise in bureaucratic buck‐​passing:

  • Collecting data to evaluate counties’ performance
  • Providing a resource with best practices so counties know what works
  • Ensuring accountability and maintaining oversight through the block grant program

SB 823 established new data collection requirements and the requirement to make data publicly available online. This system will collect, compile, and publish data from California’s 58 counties, which is necessary for transparency and for outside researchers and watchdogs to understand and constructively critique the new system. Too often, California’s 58 county governments collect or store important data separately, making it hard for citizens to understand how — and how well — their government is working. One example of this is data about the recidivism rate for county juvenile justice programs, which (in contrast to DJJ’s statistics) are decentralized and hard to find.

The data collection requirement could also enable counties to experiment with new, innovative models that could prove to be a significant improvement over existing systems. San Francisco is one such example, with its plan to close its juvenile detention facility and replace it with home‐​like rehabilitative centers. If San Francisco’s experiment is a success, and admittedly, there is no guarantee that it will, this reform should be adopted by other counties.

California’s juvenile justice reforms also include an important potential incentive for counties to adopt best practices compiled by the state and work toward improving their systems. The new Juvenile Justice Block Grant takes roughly the amount of money spent on DJJ and provides it to counties toward their spending on juvenile offenders who would previously have been sent to DJJ. Notably, this makes realignment budget‐​neutral relative to the previous system. The block grant program, in exchange for providing additional funding to counties, imposes additional reporting requirements, and requires counties to provide their plans for using the funds, with these plans published by OYCR. To ensure that the block grant money is spent responsibly, California should condition funding on counties’ juvenile justice systems being adequate, instead of turning approval and funding into a formality as in other policy areas. California policymakers have not only the opportunity but the duty to incentivize counties to adopt evidence‐​based practices to improve outcomes for youths in the justice system, as well as to collect the data from which to derive these best practices.

There are, of course, reasons for optimism about California’s juvenile justice reforms to remain measured. This is not the first time that California transferred responsibilities from a scandal‐​ridden state agency to its 58 counties. In large part due to a 1991 reform law, California transferred the responsibility for providing mental health services from the state level to the counties. At the least, this parallel should inspire great care in the plan for juvenile justice realignment: mental health realignment was flawed in many ways, and California’s mental health system has serious shortcomings.

Juvenile justice realignment, on the other hand, has a number of provisions that allay some of the concerns about parallels with mental health realignment. After mental health realignment, despite some measure of legislative tinkering, the reform program strayed from its intended goals. After California voters approved a new tax that provided a designated funding stream for mental health services, a state audit found that county mental health agencies had poor processes for spending the funding, and that they received insufficient oversight from the state. In juvenile justice, on the other hand, the state is maintaining the capacity for oversight through OCYR, and a capacity to hold counties accountable, through the juvenile justice block grant authorized by the legislature instead of mandated by a ballot initiative.

It’s also necessary to give DJJ credit where it is due: leading up to the Covid pandemic, DJJ made reforms intended to shift the facilities to a more rehabilitative model, taking Missouri’s juvenile justice system as an example. These reforms provided a degree of momentum in the right direction, and California can maintain this momentum at the county level by putting its Missouri Model plan in writing, and providing it to counties as a recommendation. Of course, as noted above, San Francisco has its own plan for shifting to a more rehabilitative model, as does Los Angeles (although Los Angeles’ plan has already encountered problems). But the shift from state to county‐​level responsibility for serious or violent juvenile offenders must continue the progress that DJJ appeared to be making, however limited.

Some of the causes for caution are more structurally ingrained than a realignment plan, however detailed, can address. In some ways, California’s county governments are designed in a way that makes them susceptible to poor governance. Counties (with the combined city and county of San Francisco being the only notable exception) are governed by Boards of Supervisors, who are, in general, lower‐​profile than mayors, but farther removed than city council members. Without a centralized authority or comprehensible separation of powers at the county level, voters can have trouble understanding who to blame for poor management — a major obstacle when deciding whether to throw out lousy elected officials.

This governance problem with California’s county governments underlines the importance of a robust state‐​level source of oversight to spur transparency and good management. But it would be, to some extent, naive to expect proper oversight: the only guarantee of decent government management is an active, educated bloc of voters who care deeply about the issues and hold elected officials accountable. Coincidentally, voters are paying more attention to criminal justice — and considering more drastic reforms — than they have before. While the center of today’s criminal justice reform movement is policing, the movement can expand its impact by demanding a new focus on rehabilitation, or at least good management, at county juvenile justice agencies.

Admittedly, transferring responsibility from the state to counties has a checkered history, but California has an opportunity to change that, and this set of reforms has meaningful details designed to avoid possible pitfalls. The stakes are high not only for the 800 young people locked up by the Division of Juvenile Justice, but for California’s adult prison system and the nation’s emerging prison abolition movement: these new reforms are too important to get wrong.

Federal Debt is Soaring

Federal government debt rose from $3.3 trillion in 2001, to $10.1 trillion in 2011, to $23.0 trillion in 2021. Under current law, the CBO expects debt to rise to $35.8 trillion by 2031. If Congress passes the spending increases in the Democratic budget resolution, debt will rise to $40.1 trillion by 2031, according to CRFB. This is “debt held by the public,” meaning federal borrowing from domestic and foreign creditors.

The chart scales the debt to the number of U.S. households. Debt per household under the Democratic plan would rise from $179,082 in 2021 to $288,047 by 2031. That debt is not like mortgage debt where households have a hard asset to match what they owe. Rather, it is the government going on a consumption spending spree and putting $288,047 on each household’s credit card. That is because just 5 percent of federal spending is for hard assets such as highways and fighter jets. By ballooning the debt today, politicians are imposing large and rising burdens on households tomorrow.

Here are further observations:

  • Federal debt today is 103 percent of GDP and would rise to 119 percent by 2031 under the Democratic spending plan. That level of debt is higher than the 31 percent reached in the Civil War, 33 percent reached in World War I, and 106 percent reached in World War II. Today we are not at war, and politicians show no interest in paying down the debt as they did after past wars.
  • Bill Clinton was the last president to balance the budget, but the chronic red ink began in the 1930s with the rise of Keynesian economics and the invention of auto‐​pilot entitlement programs. Deficit spending has been supercharged in recent years by the rise in global capital markets, which makes vast borrowing much easier. From 1791 to 1930, federal politicians balanced the budget 68 percent of the years, but since 1931 they have balanced it only 13 percent of the years.
  • America’s combined federal and state government debt in 2021 at 141 percent of GDP is far higher than the OECD average of 100 percent of GDP, and much higher than debt levels in Australia, Denmark, Ireland, Israel, Germany, Korea, the Netherlands, New Zealand, and Sweden.
  • Rising debt may trigger an economic crisis with soaring interest rates and falling output. Greece’s debt crisis a decade ago created long‐​lasting damage, and the country’s real income per capita is still down one‐​quarter from its pre‐​crisis level. America’s government debt today is about the same size relative to GDP as was Greece’s before its debt crisis.
  • With the Democratic spending plan, federal interest costs will top $1 trillion a year by 2031. But that assumes the CBO baseline projection of interest rates rising only to 1.9 percent on short‐​term federal debt and 3.2 percent on long‐​term debt. I think that is a rosy scenario. The risk is on the upside. If interest rates rise more than projected, it will have a huge budget impact because the debt is so large.

Chris Edwards

Ayn Rand: on Poverty

If concern for human poverty and suffering were one’s primary motive, one would seek to discover their cause. One would not fail to ask: Why did some nations develop, while others did not? Why have some nations achieved material abundance, while others have remained stagnant in subhuman misery? History and, specifically, the unprecedented prosperity-explosion of the nineteenth century, would give an immediate answer: capitalism is the only system that enables men to produce abundance—and the key to capitalism is individual freedom.

Poverty is not a mortgage on the labor of others—misfortune is not a mortgage on achievement—failure is not a mortgage on success—suffering is not a claim check, and its relief is not the goal of existence—man is not a sacrificial animal on anyone’s altar nor for anyone’s cause—life is not one huge hospital.

Florida’s Governor DeSantis Emerges as American Leader

As I reported on April 4 ( https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2022/04/04/hats-off-to-florida-governor-ron-desantis-an-american-leader/ ), Disney, once upon a time a respected and trusted company, is today a lobby for sexual perversion. The Florida legislature passed the “Parental Rights in Education” bill into law, and Disney’s CEO, Bob Chapek, has taken issue with it. As far as Chapek is concerned, the rights of a tiny minority of sexual perverts take precedent over parental rights. Chapek thinks parents have no right to protest the public education system brainwashing their children into sexual perversion and transgenderism.

It turns out that Disney had purchased via campaign contributions from a previous legislature the right to govern itself independently of the county governments in which Disney resides. When Chapek announced that Disney’s goal was to have parental rights ” be repealed by the legislature or struck down in the courts” and to support organizations working to make that happen, Florida Ron DeSantis reminded Chapek that Florida “is governed by the interests of the people of the state of Florida—it is not based on the demands of California corporate executives.” The Florida government has made it clear that Disney’s unique privilege is subject to repeal.

Polls show that an overwhelming majority of Floridians, including a majority of Democrats, favor parental rights over sexual perverts’ rights. Families are canceling their Disney memberships and are calling on social media for boycotting Disney. No parent concerned about their children should ever support Disney by taking them to a Disney venue.

State Representative Spencer Roach said that “CEO Bob Chapek needs to be removed,” and that “a man obsessed with sexualizing 4-year-olds should not run a company that built its brand on preserving the innocence and magic of childhood.” Rep. Roach’s opinion is that if Disney wants to keep its special privilege, Chapek has to go.

Disney’s special privileges and its CEO’s belief that the company can control Florida law shows how “free market capitalism” really works. It works by corporations buying governments and regulatory authorities.

Chapek’s use of Disney to lobby for the rights of sexual perverts shows how far America has sunk into degeneracy. What is the position of Chapek’s board and shareholders? Are they as degenerate as he is, preferring perverse sexual indoctrination of children? Has the American educational system at all levels succumbed to “wokism,” thus overthrowing the traditional moral principles and behavior that defined the United States of America?

The American people are losing their country morally and spiritually. Integrity, traditional principles, traditional ways of judging people by their character, appropriate behavior, politeness, manners, personal and family relations have all been sodom and gomorrahized. When I look back over my years, almost everything good about America has been destroyed.

It is amazing how long it took for “progress” to be understood as the destruction it is. DeSantis sees it and steps forward as a leader. The question is: are the American people too far gone to recognize the leadership that they need?

Among the superpowers, the US is the only country incapable of producing real leadership. How is such a badly led country going to compete against China and Russia?

Paul Craig Roberts

Florida Governor DeSantis Emerges as American Leader

As I reported on April 4 ( https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2022/04/04/hats-off-to-florida-governor-ron-desantis-an-american-leader/ ), Disney, once upon a time a respected and trusted company, is today a lobby for sexual perversion. The Florida legislature passed the “Parental Rights in Education” bill into law, and Disney’s CEO, Bob Chapek, has taken issue with it. As far as Chapek is concerned, the rights of a tiny minority of sexual perverts take precedent over parental rights. Chapek thinks parents have no right to protest the public education system brainwashing their children into sexual perversion and transgenderism.

It turns out that Disney had purchased via campaign contributions from a previous legislature the right to govern itself independently of the county governments in which Disney resides. When Chapek announced that Disney’s goal was to have parental rights ” be repealed by the legislature or struck down in the courts” and to support organizations working to make that happen, Florida Ron DeSantis reminded Chapek that Florida “is governed by the interests of the people of the state of Florida—it is not based on the demands of California corporate executives.” The Florida government has made it clear that Disney’s unique privilege is subject to repeal.

Polls show that an overwhelming majority of Floridians, including a majority of Democrats, favor parental rights over sexual perverts’ rights. Families are canceling their Disney memberships and are calling on social media for boycotting Disney. No parent concerned about their children should ever support Disney by taking them to a Disney venue.

State Representative Spencer Roach said that “CEO Bob Chapek needs to be removed,” and that “a man obsessed with sexualizing 4-year-olds should not run a company that built its brand on preserving the innocence and magic of childhood.” Rep. Roach’s opinion is that if Disney wants to keep its special privilege, Chapek has to go.

Disney’s special privileges and its CEO’s belief that the company can control Florida law shows how “free market capitalism” really works. It works by corporations buying governments and regulatory authorities.

Chapek’s use of Disney to lobby for the rights of sexual perverts shows how far America has sunk into degeneracy. What is the position of Chapek’s board and shareholders? Are they as degenerate as he is, preferring perverse sexual indoctrination of children? Has the American educational system at all levels succumbed to “wokism,” thus overthrowing the traditional moral principles and behavior that defined the United States of America?

The American people are losing their country morally and spiritually. Integrity, traditional principles, traditional ways of judging people by their character, appropriate behavior, politeness, manners, personal and family relations have all been sodom and gomorrahized. When I look back over my years, almost everything good about America has been destroyed.

It is amazing how long it took for “progress” to be understood as the destruction it is. DeSantis sees it and steps forward as a leader. The question is: are the American people too far gone to recognize the leadership that they need?

Among the superpowers, the US is the only country incapable of producing real leadership. How is such a badly led country going to compete against China and Russia.

Paul Craig Roberts

Don’t Say Gay: Another Leftist Smear Campaign

“Don’t Say Gay” is a dishonest, leftist smear campaign — like all propaganda campaigns from any dictatorship. The Flordia law does not forbid parents from discussing homosexuality or anything else with their kids. It only says that certain aspects of sex education should be left out of the classroom. It’s also a way to prevent government-run schools from encouraging children to consider themselves transsexual — and perhaps even take medical steps toward “changing genders” — without parental consent.

Who would have thought we’d ever reach a point like this? It’s still illegal to vote or join the military until you’re 18; it’s still illegal to drink alcohol until you’re 21; but it’s OK to engage in hormone treatments/psychological “counseling” without parental knowledge and consent at the age of six or ten. It’s all something worse than madness.

Unfortunately, the Flordia law cannot succeed at what it intends to do, even if a Biden-stacked/RINO Supreme Court fails to strike the law down (which it almost certainly will.) Why? Because this is what happens when government gets involved in education. Education and state must be kept separate. Education must be 100 percent private. If it’s not, then government holds a monopoly over what is taught, and how it is taught.

The same people who would never accept state-run newspapers/websites or state-run churches keep signing on for state-run education, somehow thinking the results will be different. ANY totalitarian knows that the way to rule a society is to first get hold of its children. For several generations now, leftists (even when conservatives like Ronald Reagan were in office) have been doing so. Witness the results — a generation of millennials mostly socialist/woke and in many cases unable to cope with their own fragile emotional states. The present schools are now gearing up to produce something even worse: a generation of American Maoists in preparation for a completely totalitarian regime not unlike the Soviet regime of the past or the Chinese Communist Party regime today. Frankly, we’re just about there. Recalcitrant parents in Virginia, Florida and in other places are the only things left standing in the way. Is it any wonder the Biden regime openly threatens to imprison them, first by labeling them “domestic terrorists”?

If anything leads to civil war and/or breakup of what remains of the USA, it will be the battle over education. Leftists in total control of the federal government are NOT going to surrender. They WILL jail American parents, including parents in Florida, if they don’t get their way. They care nothing for gay people or “transgendered” people. You cannot care about the rights of groups when you have ZERO regard for the rights of man. They are totalitarians through and through, and these poor, ignorant saps in the LGBT “community” fall for it.

The transgender and “gay” issues are just wedge issues for the seizure of power. Communists and fascists like Hitler have always used these tactics. It’s the federal government’s way of saying, “Hey, I can do ANYTHING I want to your kids. I dare you to try and stop me.” Governor DeSantis in Florida is that rare kind of Republican who dares to try. But short of total privatization of education, decent and rational people will never win the war. And, quite frankly, short of secession from our rotten federal leftist regime — corrupt beyond all repair, at this point — Florida will not get its way, sadly.

Michael J. Hurd, Daily Dose of Reason