President Donald Trump said he doesn’t care what the polls and the “fake news” are showing: he is confident the Republicans are going to shock the world — and the Democrats, in particular — and perform much better than expected in the 2026 midterm elections. The president struck an optimistic tone while rallying for the GOP in Vandalia, Ohio on Saturday evening. He said Republicans will be just fine, as long as conservatives don’t stay at home on Election Day.

“They’re in for a big surprise. It’s very simple: You gotta get out and vote. You gotta get out. You gotta vote for these guys,” Trump urged. “If you do that, we’re gonna win and we’re gonna win big.” Trump then lifted his right arm and gestured to the reporters at the event, whom he accused of working with the “Dumocrats” to rig the election. “And we’re gonna shove it up their ***, okay?” Trump declared.

The feisty comment drew a big roar from the MAGA crowd. It came as the president bashed some of his favorite targets, from CNN star Kaitlan Collins to ex-Vice President Kamala Harris to progressive Texas Senate candidate James Talarico (D). Trump mocked “Talafreako” for being a “vegan all his life,” only to pivot and start going to barbecues “all the time” to cynically appeal to Texans. “What they don’t show is he goes to the back of the tent every time and he’s throwing up all over the place,” Trump quipped. “He’s not for meat.”

As for Collins, Trump kept his feud going with the anchor by calling her out — a move which prompted some hearty boos from the crowd. “She’s such an unhappy person,” Trump said. “She’s a young, nice person, but she never smiles. She’s a very unhappy person.”

Trump then lifted his right arm and gestured to the reporters at the event, whom he accused of working with the “Dumocrats” to rig the election. “And we’re gonna shove it up their ***, okay?” Trump declared. The feisty comment drew a big roar from the MAGA crowd. It came as the president bashed some of his favorite targets, from CNN star Kaitlan Collins to ex-Vice President Kamala Harris to progressive Texas Senate candidate James Talarico (D).

Trump mocked “Talafreako” for being a “vegan all his life,” only to pivot and start going to barbecues “all the time” to cynically appeal to Texans. “What they don’t show is he goes to the back of the tent every time and he’s throwing up all over the place,” Trump quipped. “He’s not for meat.”

As for Collins, Trump kept his feud going with the anchor by calling her out — a move which prompted some hearty boos from the crowd. “She’s such an unhappy person,” Trump said. “She’s a young, nice person, but she never smiles. She’s a very unhappy person.”

Trump’s stumping in Ohio comes as pretty much every major poll shows the Dems ahead of Republicans on the generic congressional ballot. The Dem lead comes even after CNN chief data guru Harry Enten reported liberals “despise” party leaders like Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY). To make sure the Democrats don’t flip Congress, Trump made a simple plea to the crowd: “If you don’t mind, please pretend that I’m on the ballot.”

Sean James, Mediaite

Iranian Regime national tv Channel One hacked about an hour ago. During a broadcast of Khamenie speech, a red crosshair appeared over his face and chanting of Women. Life. Freedom. There was writing to the side saying “Rise up. Join us”. Also 4 photos at the bottom of the screen of young people killed and additional writing: “The blood of our youth is dropping from your paws”.

Also, there was a huge banner in the middle of Tehran highway today that read: We are no longer afraid of you. We will fight.

Also, attempted attack on IRI ambassador in Denmark. Her bodyguard was stabbed. Diplomatic Security intervened before the attacker could stab the ambassador.

Various

Carney and Burnham are Dumb and Dumber.

J.B. Shurk | September 30, 2026

Vladimir Putin

Commie Canada and the dis-United Kingdom should be renamed the “Dumb and Dumber” of the British Commonwealth.  

King Charles III’s North American prime minister, Mark Carney, ran to The New York Times last week to talk about his military combat preparations against the United States in the event that President Trump crosses Lake America and liberates Canada from its delusional leaders.  What a showboating dunce.  The U.S. singlehandedly sustains Canada’s economy and national security, yet the tiny central banker huffed and puffed in a hilariously Napoleonic display of fake strength.  

In the same interview with the failing Times, Con-man Carney outlined his intent to integrate Canada’s economy with that of China and the European Union and to replace the U.S. Dollar with a China-linked global reserve currency.  Rhetorically defending Canada’s sovereignty while insulting his U.S. benefactor, Little Mark Carney explained how he would subjugate his socialist nanny-state to Chinese Communist Party General Secretary Xi Jinping and unelected European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.  Mark is the global mascot for “educated” idiots everywhere.

Not to be outdone by not-so-Great Britain’s Canadian cousin, U.K. Prime Minister Poindexter (er, I mean Andy Burnham) informed the United Nations General Assembly last week that his government was constructing yet another speech-police organization (this one given the august name, “National Centre for Information Defence,” which should not be confused with the “Research, Information, and Communications Unit,” the “Government Communication Service,” the “Counter Disinformation Unit,” the “Defending Democracy Taskforce,” the “Information Threats and Influence Directorate,” the “Rapid Response Unit,” the “National Cyber Force and Social Cohesion Taskforce,” the “Media Monitoring Unit,” or any of the other information-control agencies already mobilized across totalitarian Britain) to protect the British people from scary thoughts and words.  Burnham blamed the Russians for spreading “a narrative of decline, stoking division, and sowing despair” in the U.K. (and definitely not Westminster’s promotion of decline, division, and despair!) and promised to counteract this “information warfare” by censoring Britons’ public speech and feeding his collapsing country a steady diet of State-sanctioned propaganda.  In order to beat back the Russians, Dilapidated Britain must have its very own digital Iron Curtain!  Two cheers for democracy!  Hip hip…who cares.

The British people are screwed.  On average, their government grants settlement or citizenship to an illegal alien every single minute.  These foreign nationals receive more welfare from British taxpayers than ever before.  The third-world invaders (I mean, “newcomers”) use Britain’s streets as public toilets.  Rather than securing the kingdom’s borders, the Home Office hands out a nine-page booklet informing mostly-Muslim men of military age that it is illegal to rape women and children while they conquer the islands.  In the last two years alone, the number of illegal immigrants (and future citizens!) arriving by boat has exceeded the size of the entire British Army!  But if these outrageous facts disturb you enough to publicly express your feelings on social media, you will most likely join the roughly 65,000 Brits who have been arrested for “speech-related offenses” over the last five years.  Foreign invasion?  Good!  Free speech?  Very bad!

Apparently, the British police state also plans to imprison anyone who would rather not fight WWIII against the Russian Federation.  During a recent episode of former cabinet minister Jacob Rees-Mogg’s “State of the Nation” on GB News, one leftist-globalist commentator in favor of mass conscription argued, “We would have to lock a few people up…some of the pro-Russian voices, people saying there isn’t a threat, don’t fight for your country, don’t go to war for Burnham, we’ll have to lock ‘em up.”  Rather than responding with horror at the suggestion that his fellow Britons should be imprisoned for opposing a catastrophic war, Rees-Mogg pedantically replied, “Well, we suspended habeas corpus during the Napoleonic Wars…indeed, yes.”  In another interview, Rees-Mogg nonchalantly remarked that British citizens have a “duty” to “die” for Britain in a war against Russia.

In Burnham and Rees-Mogg’s Britain, the only way to “defend democracy” is to imprison anyone who disagrees with the British Establishment and to sacrifice everyone else to the killing fields!  The British Isles might as well be renamed the “Gulag Archipelago.”

Interestingly, GB News — which leans conservative — discovered last week that Britain’s media regulator, the Office of Communications (Ofcom), had covered up data showing that viewers trust GB News more than the BBC.  GB News, in fact, is ranked above all other networks with regard to viewpoint diversity and impartiality.  British authorities apparently did not want the public to know these inconvenient truths because the BBC is treated as an objective, trustworthy, and premier source of news (fact check: false!).  In an effort to control the public’s perception of the BBC, Ofcom restricted what information the public was permitted to know.  P.M. Burnham takes the “defense of information” very seriously!

How seriously?  Burnham and the British government force citizens to pay for the BBC’s awful dreck whether they watch it or not!  Every household in the U.K. must fork over a £180 license fee to the BBC each year.  Because more households are refusing to pay the license, the government is considering the imposition of a mandatory £11-a-month Internet tax in order to keep the BBC’s fake news funded.  The BBC says that the “fee is essential for maintaining the quality and diversity of public broadcasting in the UK.”  

What does “quality and diversity” look like at the BBC?  Two “reporters” just did a major exposé describing how women who don’t polish their nails perpetuate “white supremacy.”  No joke!  “Nail art’s historical and creative roots are linked back to black, Latino, and Asian communities and the suggestion that bare nails are now a sign of high status could stigmatise bold manicures,” the BBC “reports.”  “They are often called elegant or tasteful, and these are often usually euphemisms that perpetuate white supremacist standards of beauty.”  Yes, Burnham, force Britain’s working-class to pay for this race-baiting propaganda posing as hard news!

Earlier this year, British authorities announced that YouTube and other social media platforms would be forced to manipulate their algorithms and push BBC “news” to the top of feeds in order to counter “disinformation.”  In other words, Whitehall steals money from British citizens to pay for State-run TV and then forces them to watch it.  During the Cold War, we called that Soviet-style propaganda.  Yet if you ask the fake “reporters” at the BBC, Canada’s publicly-funded CBC, or America’s NPR or PBS, all these propagandists would insist that they have nothing in common with the Soviet Union’s Pravda or the Russian Federation’s RT (Russia Today) News.  In the West, State-funded media are somehow not State media.  Does that sound more like propaganda or breaking news?

Britain’s State-imposed “narrative control” is utterly totalitarian.  Dismissing the “narrative of decline” and “despair” in Britain as a “corrosive narrative…which bears no resemblance to reality” and a “distorted and untrue narrative about Britain,” P.M. Burnham casts all public dissent as “far-right narratives.”  As military historian Professor Michael Rainsborough mocks, “The problem isn’t the problem, the problem is the people noticing the problem.”  Rainsborough points out that right after Burnham rebranded “decline” as “disinformation,” the prime minister laid out a “10-year plan” to fight inflation, housing costs, hopelessness, inequality, and division.  “The narrative of decline,” in other words, “bears no resemblance to reality, although reality apparently requires a 10-year plan.”

Both Canada and Britain are failing.  The public has noticed.  Carney and Burnham wish to whitewash reality with fake “narratives.”  The worse things become, the more difficult it will be for their ministries of truth to succeed.  Expect the BBC to blame Trump, Putin, and “white supremacy.”

J. B. Shurk, American Thinker

“Be diligent to present yourself approved to God as a workman who does not need to be ashamed, handling accurately the word of truth” (2 Tim. 2:15).

The Holy Spirit protects you from false doctrine, but that doesn’t eliminate the need for diligent Bible study.

For the next few days we’ll consider several benefits of Bible study. Today we’ll address the broader question of why Bible study is necessary at all.

Perhaps you know believers who think Bible study is unnecessary. Bible reading, they say, is sufficient because we have the Holy Spirit, who teaches us all things. Often they cite 1 John 2:27 in support of their view: “As for you, the anointing [the Holy Spirit] which you received from [God] abides in you, and you have no need for anyone to teach you; but as His anointing teaches you about all things, and is true and is not a lie, and just as it has taught you, you abide in Him.”

That passage, however, isn’t implying that Bible study or Bible teachers aren’t necessary. On the contrary, John was exhorting his readers to abide in what they’d already learned (v. 24) and shun only those teachers who deny Christ and try to deceive believers.

The Holy Spirit is the believer’s resident lie detector, granting discernment to shield him or her from false doctrine. Although a Christian may be temporarily confused by false teachers, ultimately he can never drift into apostasy or deny Christ. If anyone does depart from the faith, his departure is proof that he was never a true believer in the first place (v. 19).

The Spirit protects you from error, but you must fulfill your responsibility as a student of the Word. Even a man of Timothy’s spiritual stature needed to study the Word diligently and handle it accurately (2 Tim. 2:15).

I pray that the psalmist’s attitude toward Scripture will be yours as well: “O how I love Thy law! It is my meditation all the day” (Ps. 119:97).

Suggestions for Prayer

-Thank God for His precious Word.

-Ask Him to give you a deeper love for its truths.

For Further Study

-Read Titus 1:7-16 and 2 Timothy 2:2.

-What skills must an overseer have regarding God’s Word?

-Why are those skills necessary?

-Do those skills apply to church leaders only? Explain.

-Are you skilled in handling God’s Word?

John MacArthur, Grace Community Church

There’s generally a strategy to the madness; you just have to wait until it starts to become visible.  The anniversary of October 7, 2023, massacre is right around the corner.

Hamas-led attacks on Israel on 7 October 2023, which killed about 1,200 people and involved mass shootings, hostage‑taking, rapes and horrific assaults on civilian communities.

As noted in the end of this article about the French protests, “student organizations are nevertheless calling for protests to continue, with the movement now looking towards Tuesday’s National Day of Action.”

EUROPE – Around 400 of France’s 3,700 secondary schools were closed on Friday on the orders of police prefects, with many schools switching to online lessons.

Education Minister Edouard Geffray urged parents to intervene, warning that young people were putting themselves at risk.

“Children are in danger on the streets,” he told BFMTV. “Parents must, quite clearly, take action and tell their children not to go [to the blockades].” The protests began over staffing, funding and school conditions and have spread rapidly across the country.

The Interior Ministry said 1,027 secondary schools were affected on Thursday, including 222 that were blockaded. Around 30 university campuses were also blocked.

It said 1,949 people were arrested on Thursday alone, mainly in connection with violence, unlawful gatherings and attacks on people in positions of authority. (read more)

suspect the U.K is only a few days from having a much worse set of crises on their hands.

Posted inBig Stupid Government, Cultural Marxism, European Union, France, Islam, Jihad, Notorious Liars, Typical Prog Behavior, Uncategorized, United Kingdom (UK) and Great Britain

Sundance, The Last Refuge

Robert B. Bluey•   September 26, 2026

When Nick Freitas walks down a city street in the opening scene of his new documentary, recounting his days as a Green Beret, most viewers might think he’s somewhere in the Muslim world. I certainly did.

He’s in Britain. And the transformation he documents there, driven by decades of mass Muslim migration and a political class unwilling to demand assimilation, is one Americans ignore at their peril.

Freitas, a former member of the Virginia House of Delegates, joined me on “Midterm Report” to discuss “The Immigration Crisis That Will Destroy the West,” a film he made with The Heritage Foundation and The Blaze. It features Heritage experts Mike Gonzalez, Nile Gardiner, and Lora Ries.

Asked how a nation is demoralized and destabilized, Freitas has a simple answer.

“In the simplest terms, you give it an identity crisis,” he told me. “And I think we’re suffering that in the West in general, and we’re starting to see it become a significant problem in the United States.”

A Clash of Worldviews

Freitas embarked on the project because he cares deeply about his own country’s future. He decided to visit Britain given its shared heritage with the United States.

In the United Kingdom, mass migration from Muslim countries has tested the country’s traditions and reshaped its culture.

“I’m not talking about differences in dress or festivals or food,” Freitas said. “I’m talking about diametrically opposed views on the fundamental components of what builds a high-trust society.”

Those components, he explained, are political, social, theological, and economic. When migrants arrive with “no genuine interest in assimilating,” he warned, the result is “ultimately destructive.”

Nowhere is that clearer than in Britain’s grooming gang scandal, the film’s most heart-wrenching segment. Freitas said the overwhelming majority of the men who organized the abuse were Pakistani. Yet British police were reluctant to pursue them because they feared being called Islamophobic.

“That should just absolutely baffle us,” Freitas said. “But on the other side, we should start to recognize how far America has gone down this path.”

What Americans Can Do

In its promotion of the film, Heritage is blunt about the stakes: What mass Islamic immigration did to Britain could happen here if Americans don’t act now.

Freitas said America can change course, and he believes it starts close to home. His advice: Vote in primaries, where he estimates only 7% to 8% of voters participate. And parents shouldn’t assume their local public school reflects their values, even in a conservative community with good teachers.

“The teachers don’t select the curriculum,” he said.

Instead, Freitas urges parents to teach their kids the real history of the United States, ensuring they pass that inheritance to the next generation. That, he said, is the surest way our country doesn’t follow the Britain’s path.

Virginia’s Choice

As a former Virginia delegate who spent 10 years in the General Assembly, Freitas is closely watching this year’s midterm elections.

Early voting began Sept. 18 and will continue through Election Day on Nov. 3. Virginia voters will decide the fate of three constitutional amendments after they received approval in two consecutive sessions of the General Assembly, as required under state law.

Question 1 would amend Virginia’s constitution to expand abortion access throughout pregnancy and eliminate the need for parental consent. Question 2 would replace the current constitutional definition of marriage as the union of one man and one woman with language guaranteeing the right of two adults to marry regardless of sex. Question 3 would restore voting rights for felons.

Freitas urged a “no” vote on all three constitutional amendments.

“The Left feels no obligation to be open and honest about what they’re trying to do,” Freitas said.

>>> A RARE MOVE BY A VIRGINIA BISHOP AHEAD OF ELECTION DAY

Freitas warned about the long-term consequences for Virginians if the amendments pass, equating it to what’s already happened in Britain.

“They selectively enforce the law,” he said, warning that Democrats would go after Christian pastors while leaving mosques and imams alone. “That’s what they do all the time.”

He added, “This is a question of whether or not they are eventually going to be able to sue you as a Christian pastor because you don’t want to sanctify a gay marriage.”

The film’s message ultimately comes down to Freitas’ plea to value “the truth over comfort.” Britain didn’t. America still can.

Robert Bluey, Daily Signal

For more than six decades, the Cuban regime has been the leading sponsor of radical leftism and Third Worldism in the United States.

The State Department is exposing the full history of Cuban espionage and subversion in our country.

The American people deserve to know.

ransomnote: After reading the report Rubio linked, CUBA | THE CAPITAL OF 21st CENTURY COMMUNISM (PDF), I realized that the concluding paragraph (see last paragraph indented below), was likely written for people like me who did not realize just how weaponized CUBA has been. As a failed nation, I did not see its profound success in tormenting America in its endless endeavor to destroy us.

By the end of the State Department’s (well-written) report, I had the distinct impression of Cuba as a forwarding operating base – the equivalent of a stationary aircraft carrier – docked near America, protecting, recruiting, supplying and collaborating with every enemy America has had, and will have.

Cuba is home sweet home to foreign intelligence agencies, some with multiple offices in Cuba, conducting cyber attacks, electronic disruption, intelligence collection etc. along with terrorist training and the cultivation of Antifa, No Kings rallies etc., while saturating our government, universities with their ideology. The money, the recruting via ‘tourist visits’ offered to college students. The Democratic Socialists of America are among Cuba’s proudest accomplishments, because they can use it to function as a ‘legitimate’ social effort – no more hiding behind terrorist organizations like the Black Panthers, the Weathermen etc.

Our intelligence agencies say that Cuba’s intel people are top flight, largely because they are ‘true believers’ with some lasting in our government for 30 to 50 years. Lives spent attempting to destroy the United States, while working and drawing a pension from…the United States.

I think CUBA’s success fielding attacks on America explains why few nations find it cost effective to own and operate their own air craft carriers. Why bother? Fly terrorists into CUBA for training, fly them to Africa or the Middle East for additional training, insert them into the US under ‘exchange’ programs and ‘freeing the oppressed.’ Harbor terrorists escaping the US to Cuba’s terrorist ‘haven’. Karen Bass is alumni of the nation’s efforts to rot the US from within, but she’s just one of the countless insurgents, whether armed or ideological, which Cuba is proud to sponsor. 

LAST PARAGRAPH Exerpted from the report:

“To mistake Cuba’s poverty for harmlessness is to misunderstand the threat entirely. Its material weakness was never the measure of its danger. Its power was always ideological, subversive, and parasitic – and it has proven remarkably durable, outlasting the Soviet empire that helped build it and grafting itself onto every new enemy of the United States that has arisen since. Today it serves as the connective tissue of a broader anti-American coalition, a staging ground where the ambitions of Moscow, Beijing, and Tehran converge with the radical movements operating inside our own border

Secretary of State Marco Rubio

The midterm polls suck, and they might be right – if you believe them, we could be headed for anything from a blue tsunami to a blue wave to a blue trickle. But that’s a big if. To avoid that conclusion, you have to believe that the majority of polls, which are undeniably showing most of our key Senate candidates losing, are inaccurate.

Now, this is where it gets tricky, because we want to believe in a massive polling miss. We want to believe that the polls are skewed Dem-ward. We want to believe that there are Republicans out there who aren’t being surveyed by these polls who are going to show up on election day and pull our bacon out of the fire. The power of wanting is potent, and it can blind you. It can make you stupid. It can make you miss the obvious. And that danger exists there. Those polls could be substantially correct, in which case we’re going to have a very bad November 3rd.

And yet…

Yes, I want to believe, but there’s evidence supporting hope. There’s evidence supporting the idea that the polls are so substantially flawed that they do not accurately reflect what’s going to happen. Again, the caveat – this could be delusion. We could be seeing what we want to see. But then, what we’re seeing is there. There is evidence supporting what we want to happen, evidence worth considering.

We’re seeing how polls have been missing big lately. Look at Abdul El-Sayed. He was supposed to win that Michigan primary in a walk. We’re talking five, 10, 15 points, according to the primary polls. And yet he barely squeaked past that squeaky woman he was competing with. We’ve seen lots of other polls that assured us of a Democrat victory. Just ask President Harris about that.

If you’ve been around a while, you know that the polls always favor the Democrats. You almost never see a Democrat surprise us by exceeding his polling against a Republican. You just don’t. So, there’s that. And of course, there’s an interest in driving down Republican enthusiasm by telling people they can’t win.

Then there’s the gut vibe. Don’t completely disregard that. In Texas, you must believe the Texans are going to support a blasphemous, anti-meat, anti-gun, anti-white, woke weirdo with a thing for trans kids. Does that sound like Texas to you? It sure doesn’t sound like Texas to me, and I’m in Texas. I’ve talked to a lot of Texan conservatives. Not one thinks this guy is going to win. Now, they agree it could theoretically happen, but they don’t think it’s going to.

Ken Paxton has won three times in statewide races, and he’s done a lot of great conservative things. Are Texans really going to choose a bizarre homunculus to spend six years in Washington, D.C., voting like Democrat Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14) in their name? It just doesn’t fit. It’s weird. That’s not saying it couldn’t happen – there are lots of communists here along with other weirdos, losers, and mutations who would be thrilled to have this geebo as a Lone Star senator. But it just doesn’t feel like something that’s going to happen.

Moreover, we’ve been told a lot of conservatives are going to sit this out. The bots on X are certainly pushing that coordinated message, as the semi-coherent comments on my Monday column about quitters demonstrate. Yes, there are probably some Republicans who are going to sit out this midterm, but I haven’t met any of them personally. Maybe you have. I just don’t think there are a lot of them, especially in light of how appalling the Democrats are.

It doesn’t make sense, at least to people who aren’t idiots who blame everything on Epstein conspiracies and the Jews and blah blah blah, to be mad at Trump and the Republicans for not being conservative enough and showing them what-for by allowing the election of communists. As risky as it is, I’m not going all-in on the assumption that people are that stupid.

No, you can’t take all that to the bank. No, it’s not scientific, but are the polls scientific? Well, the pollsters apply statistical analysis to creating them – at least sometimes. It’s very clear that a significant number of the polls, if not all of them, to some extent have an endgame in mind. Some of them are obviously ops. But others are effectively ops. Remember, you don’t just count up numbers with polls.

You don’t call X number of people and do the breakdown of who said what. You have to weight it by who you think will show up at the ballot box. So, what does the voter profile look like for this election? Does it look like 2006? 2012? 2018? 2020? 2022? 2024? Who knows? The science of polling involves statistics, regression, and all sorts of math that makes your head hurt. But there’s an art too. That art manifests as an educated guess.

And yes, if you notice, before we discussed polling science, I talked about what goes into what are effectively educated guesses. Polls are not free from considering outside factors. Polls require that even an honest pollster make his best guess about what the breakdown of voters is going to look like.

Maybe all the Democrats are going to come out and none of the Republicans. Maybe vice versa. Maybe they’re going to come out even – as Steve Kornacki pointed out just the other day, party enthusiasm is now even at 71 percent. Well, if everybody’s going to show up, that kind of changes things, doesn’t it?

Now here’s the big question, and it’s a tricky one because it once again requires us to believe something we want to believe. When presented with something that you want to believe, you should be extra suspicious. Confirmation bias is real. Even the best of us is not immune to it. So, let’s proceed with caution. We’ve got Democrats out there paying tens of millions of dollars to fool us; there’s no need for us to do it to ourselves for free.

Here’s the question – are pollsters getting a good sample of actual Republicans? In other words, are Republicans either not being called or refusing to participate in polls to such an extent that they are being undercounted? Pollsters will tell you that it’s very hard to poll Republicans. Why? We don’t trust pollsters. We don’t trust the regime media. We don’t trust anybody. But is that significant enough to substantially change the bad polling we’ve seen? I guess that depends on how many Republicans refuse to play with the pollsters.

Now, to measure that, or at least give ourselves some idea of it, I conducted a poll on X, which is about as scientific as voodoo. Still, here it is:

“This is a question for conservative Republicans who intend to vote… Do you respond to polls?”

Results from 2,479 respondents:

Never: 81%

Sometimes (1%-50%): 13%

Usually (51%-99%): 3%

Always: 3%

Well, that result is pretty substantial. If my informal poll is even remotely accurate, the vast majority of the time, Republicans won’t participate in formal polling. And of course, one thing that isn’t captured by this poll is what kind of Republicans respond sometimes, usually, or always. This is important because, by showing up, they’re doing a lot of the work of measuring Republican intentions. Are they substantially different from Republicans who never respond? They might well be since the responders might feel more comfortable dealing with the establishment and are therefore probably less hardcore.

But is this significant? Well, it’s obviously not a scientific survey. It is an X poll, so it’s going to be answered by the kind of people who follow me. These are majority conservative folks with a large America First contingent, though the comments include a lot of idiotic bots who thought they were clever by pointing out the irony of people answering an X poll by a friendly commentator regarding answering formal institutional polls by entities we largely consider to be enemies, as if those two things are identical.

The comments that do matter include the many people who say they’ve never been polled at all. Some of us get outreach all the time – I’m one of the “Never” folks, and I get hit up every couple of days by text or call. So, this exercise seems to indicate that, among relatively conservative folks, there is a huge resistance to participating in formal surveys. Does this result translate to “normal” conservatives, the kind who are never on X? I don’t know, but I suspect it does.

So, where do we stand? Well, science alone won’t give us the answer. We’ve got to use the art part, the intuition based on experience and other evidence that helps us evaluate the scenario. What does it all tell us?

I know what it tells me. I don’t think the polls are accurate. I think there is a significant undercount of conservatives because conservatives refuse to participate in the polling process, and because many of the other factors lead me to believe that Republicans are not going to skip voting or vote for the Democrat enemy. Neither makes sense to me, though I realize I may be completely wrong. But my gut, for what it’s worth, feels like the Democrats have peaked.

This is when Republicans start coming home. By the time the election rolls around, they will be ready to roll out and vote red. Is this all just wishful thinking? You bet it is. I certainly wish my hypothesis is true. And right now, I think it is.

But don’t rely on that. Get everybody you know and get out there and vote Republican up and down the ballot. We need to nuke the socialists from orbit; it’s the only way to be sure.

Kurt Schlichter, Townhall

Let’s check in on our “devout Catholic” former president, and see how well he’s Catholic-ing today.

Last week at a gala in Delaware, Biden spoke (mumbled) for 20 minutes, telling the abortion fanatics that this is “no time to give up” in the fight to kill as many babies in the womb as possible.

Biden delivered remarks at Planned Parenthood of Delaware’s 22nd Annual Chocolate & Champagne Gala in Claymont, Delaware, on Thursday. Before the former president spoke, former first lady Jill Biden presented her husband with the Sonia Schorr Sloan Service Award.

According to a Facebook post by Delaware Planned Parenthood earlier this month, the Sonia Schorr Sloan Service Award ‘honors a legacy of service’ and is ‘given annually to someone whose work reflects the same dedication’ as the ‘longtime supporter and community leader.’

Biden went on to blast the Dobbs decision that overturned Roe v Wade, while encouraging the abortionists to keep their chins up and keep on slaughtering children.

Biden described the abortion debate as the latest example of what he referred to as ‘a constant push and pull between peril and possibility’ as well as a ‘battle’ that is ‘never truly over.’ He concluded his remarks with a message to ‘all of you who love our country, to all of us who are disheartened by the present state of the nation.’

‘There’s no time to give up. It’s time to get up,’ he said as the crowd erupted in applause.

Thank God that this man isn’t still president.

Harris Bigby, Not the Bee

Probably the biggest reason for President Trump losing support? Iran.

A big part of Trump’s coalition were people who didn’t want any prolonged wars, wars which served the interests of the “military industrial establishment” (politicians and their cronies), but not the cause of American liberty and sovereignty.

They equated Trump with, “No war.” But clearly that’s not what Trump was about. Trump was about pro-America. True: It didn’t serve America’s interests, back in 2003, to invade Iraq and then deal with the years long mess created by that war.

But Iran is different. Iran is openly and proudly the # 1 sponsor of world terrorism. Thanks in large measure to the money and moral support afforded by the Obama and Biden regimes, Iran has moved closer and closer to having nuclear weapons capability. In fact, based on information now released by Trump’s administration, Iran may have already been to that point.

You can’t say “no war” as an out-of-context absolute. When someone is already at war with you, literally coming to kill you (or, perhaps just as bad, engage in nuclear blackmail with you), then you have to strike them before it gets to the fatal point. It’s not about Israel. It’s about American safety. America benefits from Israeli sovereignty because, compared to the alternatives, Israel is a bastion of freedom and individual rights in that part of the world. And we need that part of the world for oil, which keeps the lights on in Western civilization. If we didn’t have a Communist-inspired environmentalist fascist movement impairing oil and energy production in America, it might be a different story; we might be able to ignore the middle East much more. But Iran would still be a threat, because Iran exports terrorism to America.

You can’t assume, “Trump stands against endless wars” and then consider Trump to have betrayed you when he strikes out against Iran. You might debate the timing, strategy and manner of that strike — but you cannot oppose the strike itself, not in principle. If “America First” means anything, it means saving us from nuclear blackmailers and bloodthirsty totalitarians like the Iranian regime. Oil and Israel are important factors; but America First is really what this was all about. It makes me terribly sad to think that radical leftist totalitarians (some of whom call for “capitalist blood” in the streets) will take over Congress because some people don’t believe in war, even when it’s clearly self-defense and survival.

Michael J. Hurd, Daily Dose of Reason